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Monday, 1 January 2018
DABUR LTD - Q2 FY18
DABUR Ltd reported spectacular sequential growth for the September
quarter FY18 with mild yearly numbers. Revenue or Income From Operations fell
1% YOY at Rs. 19589 Mn in the current quarter against Rs. 19816 Mn same period
previous year. Sequential growth was reported at 9% in September quarter driven
by 10% domestic & volume growth of 7.2% with international business growing
at 3.9% in constant currency. Domestic & international business contributed
68% & 29% respectively in September quarter FY18. EBDITA grew 1% and stood
at Rs. 5042 Mn against Rs. 4979 Mn corresponding quarter previous year. On
quarterly basis EBDITA growth was 29% in Q2 FY18. Profit After Tax grew 37% QOQ
at Rs. 3627 Mn against Rs. 3584 Mn corresponding quarter previous year with
yearly growth of just 1%. Operating Expenditure declined 2% YOY from Rs. 15730
Mn in Q2 FY17 to Rs. 15390 Mn in the current September quarter. Other
expenditure came fell from 12.1% of sales to 10.8% of sales on the back of cost
synergies and declined 12% YOY. On quarterly basis, operating expenditure
jumped 4% QOQ in Q2 FY18. EBDITA margin expanded 394 basis points QOQ and 61
basis points yearly at 25.74% in the current quarter. Net Profit Margin too
followed suit, rising 372 basis points sequentially and 43 basis points YOY.
Net Profit Margin was reported at 18.51% against 18.08% same period previous
quarter. Taxation was almost constant at Rs. 880 Mn where as finance costs
declined 20% and were reported at Rs. 133 Mn YOY buttressing bottom-line.
Depreciation on the other hand jumped 12% at Rs. 401 Mn in the current
September quarter. Other Income fell 6%
YOY and rose 4% on quarterly basis. Other Income was reported at Rs. 843 Mn
compared to Rs.893 Mn corresponding quarter previous year.
Dabur Ltd is one of the most trusted Indian brand world’s largest
Ayurvedic and Natural Health Care Company. Dabur operates in key consumer
product categories like Hair Care, Oral Care, Health Care, Skin Care, Home Care
and Foods. The company has wide distribution network of about 6 million retail
outlets in both urban and rural markets.
The company’s revenue basket is broadly divided into consumer care, food
& retail business. Consumer care business contributing 82% of total
revenues de-grew 2% YOY with positive sequential growth of 13% in the September
quarter. Food business contributes the next business chunk of about 15%
exhibiting 5% YOY growth. Retail business reported negative growth both yearly
& sequentially. Consumer Care, Food & Retail revenues were reported at
Rs 16147 Mn, Rs. 2828 M & Rs. 265 Mn respectively in September FY18. DABUR
Ltd has weathered GST disruption and is expected to perform better with an
uptick in the domestic rural economy and global growth. The company has collaborated
with Amazon to increase its online and overseas presence and aims to double its
ecom volumes which are currently about 1.5% of domestic sales. The company has
improved its bottom-line in September quarter with strong volume growth of 7% without
any beneficial restocking impact. With respect to product category, Real juices
witnessed margin improvement with market share of 55% in Q2 FY18, Dabur Honey
grew by 8.6% reversing the declining trend of previous quarters and oral care growth
was around 23%. Dabur seems to have stabilized its business model and is expected
to take competition head on in the coming quarters. We recommend BUY for the stock for medium &
long term investment with target price of Rs. 550.
Disclaimer
The
information and opinions contained in the research reports have been compiled
or arrived at from sources believed reliable but no representation or warranty,
express or implied, is made as to their accuracy or completeness. The research
report does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the
particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual
clients. Clients should consider whether any advice or recommendation in this
research is suitable for their particular circumstances and, if appropriate,
seek professional advice,
including but not limited to tax advice. The reports do not take into account
the particular investment objectives, financial situations, risk profile or
needs of individual clients. The user assumes the entire risk of any use made
of this information. This report is not to be relied upon in substitution for
the exercise of independent judgment.
The
price and value of investments referred to in this research and the income from
them may fluctuate. Past performance is not a guide to future performance,
future returns are not guaranteed, and a loss of original capital may occur.
Research
data and reports published/ emailed/ text messaged via Short Messaging
Services, Online Messengers, WhatsApp etc/transmitted through mobile
application/s, including but not limited to FLIP™, Video Widget, telephony
networks, print or electronic media and or those made available/uploaded on
social networking sites (e.g. Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn etc) is for informational
purposes only. The reports are provided for assistance and are not intended to
be and must not alone be taken as the basis for an investment decision. The
user assumes the entire risk of any use made of this information. Though
disseminated to clients simultaneously, not all clients may receive the reports
at the same time. We will not treat recipients as clients by virtue of their
receiving this report.
The
reports include projections, forecasts and other predictive statements which
represent our assumptions and expectations in the light of currently available
information. These projections and forecasts are based on industry trends,
circumstances and factors which involve risks, variables and uncertainties. The
actual performance of the companies represented in the report may vary from
those projected.
The
opinions expressed in the reports are subject to change but we have no
obligation to tell our clients when our opinions or recommendations change. The
reports are non-inclusive and do not consider all the information that the
recipients may consider material to investments.
We
shall not be in any way responsible for any indirect, special or consequential
damages that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the
information contained in the reports nor do they take guarantee or assume
liability for any omissions of the information contained therein. Information
contained therein cannot be the basis for any claim, demand or cause of action.
These data, reports and information do not constitute scientific publication
and do not carry any evidentiary value whatsoever.
The
user should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of
investment and also read the Risk Disclosure Documents for Capital Markets and
Derivative Segments as prescribed by Securities and Exchange Board of India
before investing in the Indian Markets. The securities discussed in this report
may not be suitable for all investors. Investors must make their own investment
decision based on their own investment objectives, goals and financial position
and based on their own analysis. Prospective investors and others are
cautioned that any forward-looking statements, if any, are not predictions and
may be subject to change without notice.
This
report may provide the addresses of, or contain hyperlinks to websites. Except
to the extent to which the report refers to material we take no responsibility
whatsoever for the contents therein. Such addresses or hyperlinks are provided
solely for your convenience and information and the content of the linked site
does not in any way form part of this report. Accessing such website or
following such link through this report shall be at your own risk.
The
author of this Research Report accepts no liability and will not in any way be
responsible for the contents of this report or for any losses, costs, expenses,
charges, including notional losses/lost opportunities incurred by a recipient
as a result of acting or non-acting on any information/material contained in the
report. This is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any securities or
an attempt to influence the opinion or behavior of investors or recipients or
provide any investment/tax advice. The securities described herein may or may
not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of
investors. Persons in whose possession this document may come are required to
inform themselves of and to observe such restriction.
Tuesday, 19 December 2017
HERO MOTOCORP LTD - Q2 FY18
HERO MOTOCORP Ltd reported stable second
quarter FY18 with double digit sequential growth. Revenue or
Income From Operations witnessed mild decline of 1% YOY and stood at Rs. 83620 Mn
compared to Rs. 84487 Mn in September quarter FY17. Profit After Tax grew 1% YOY
and 11% sequentially at Rs. 10105 Mn against Rs. 10042 Mn same period previous
year. EBDITA was up 3% YOY at Rs. 15733 Mn against Rs. 15212 Mn corresponding
quarter previous year. On sequential basis, growth was stronger at 10% in the
current September quarter. After a sluggish Q3 & Q4 FY17, FY18 has started on
a strong note for HERO MOTOCORP and the company has maintained its double digit
June growth momentum though on lower pace. Operating Expenditure declined 2% YOY
from Rs. 70799 Mn in Q2 FY17 to Rs. 69063 Mn in the current September quarter. On
quarterly basis, expenditure was further curtailed by 6% in Q2 FY18. As a
result, both EBDITA & Net Profit Margins improved yearly & sequentially
and were reported at 18.81% & 12.08% respectively in Q2 FY18. YOY jump was 81
& 20 basis points whereas on sequential basis, expansion was 224 & 147
basis points for EBDITA & Net Profit Margins respectively in the September
quarter FY18. One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. Net Profit Margins were
slightly restrained as taxation & depreciation expenditure jumped 7% &
14% YOY. The effective tax rate was higher due to phasing out of investment allowance
and reduction in allowable deduction of R&D expenditure. Interest expense was
almost constant on yearly terms and was reported at Rs. 15.60 Mn in Q2 FY18.
Other income was reported at Rs. 1176 Mn against Rs. 1524 Mn in Q2 FY17.
Hero MotoCorp Ltd. is the world's
largest manufacturer of two - wheelers, based in India. The company achieved
this feat in 2001 and still retains this
position in terms of unit volume sales in a calendar year. The company has
crossed 75 million units in cumulative sales in July-September period and also clocked
2 million unit sales in a quarter which included more than 7 lakh sales in the
month of September. YOY, Hero Motocorp grew 11% in unit sales and 9%
sequentially in September quarter. Moving into the next quarter, October unit
sales fell short by about 5% YOY, whereas November sales have grown 26% YOY. The
company has witnessed strong rebound aided by the festive season and supported
by strong urban and rural demand and is expected to continue this momentum in
the next quarter. We recommend BUY for the stock for medium & long term
investment with a target price of Rs. 4320.
Disclaimer
The
information and opinions contained in the research reports have been compiled
or arrived at from sources believed reliable but no representation or warranty,
express or implied, is made as to their accuracy or completeness. The research
report does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the
particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual
clients. Clients should consider whether any advice or recommendation in this
research is suitable for their particular circumstances and, if appropriate,
seek professional advice,
including but not limited to tax advice. The reports do not take into account
the particular investment objectives, financial situations, risk profile or
needs of individual clients. The user assumes the entire risk of any use made
of this information. This report is not to be relied upon in substitution for
the exercise of independent judgment.
The
price and value of investments referred to in this research and the income from
them may fluctuate. Past performance is not a guide to future performance,
future returns are not guaranteed, and a loss of original capital may occur.
Research
data and reports published/ emailed/ text messaged via Short Messaging
Services, Online Messengers, WhatsApp etc/transmitted through mobile
application/s, including but not limited to FLIP™, Video Widget, telephony
networks, print or electronic media and or those made available/uploaded on
social networking sites (e.g. Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn etc) is for
informational purposes only. The reports are provided for assistance and are
not intended to be and must not alone be taken as the basis for an investment
decision. The user assumes the entire risk of any use made of this information.
Though disseminated to clients simultaneously, not all clients may receive the
reports at the same time. We will not treat recipients as clients by virtue of
their receiving this report.
The
reports include projections, forecasts and other predictive statements which
represent our assumptions and expectations in the light of currently available
information. These projections and forecasts are based on industry trends,
circumstances and factors which involve risks, variables and uncertainties. The
actual performance of the companies represented in the report may vary from those
projected.
The
opinions expressed in the reports are subject to change but we have no
obligation to tell our clients when our opinions or recommendations change. The
reports are non-inclusive and do not consider all the information that the
recipients may consider material to investments.
We
shall not be in any way responsible for any indirect, special or consequential
damages that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the
information contained in the reports nor do they take guarantee or assume
liability for any omissions of the information contained therein. Information
contained therein cannot be the basis for any claim, demand or cause of action.
These data, reports and information do not constitute scientific publication
and do not carry any evidentiary value whatsoever.
The
user should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of
investment and also read the Risk Disclosure Documents for Capital Markets and
Derivative Segments as prescribed by Securities and Exchange Board of India
before investing in the Indian Markets. The securities discussed in this report
may not be suitable for all investors. Investors must make their own investment
decision based on their own investment objectives, goals and financial position
and based on their own analysis. Prospective investors and others are
cautioned that any forward-looking statements, if any, are not predictions and
may be subject to change without notice.
This
report may provide the addresses of, or contain hyperlinks to websites. Except
to the extent to which the report refers to material we take no responsibility
whatsoever for the contents therein. Such addresses or hyperlinks are provided
solely for your convenience and information and the content of the linked site
does not in any way form part of this report. Accessing such website or
following such link through this report shall be at your own risk.
Saturday, 16 December 2017
BAJAJ AUTO LTD - Q2 FY18
BAJAJ
AUTO LTD reported strong September quarter with phenomenal sequential growth but
mild decline in yearly numbers. Revenue or Income From Operations rose 2% YOY
and stood at Rs. 65664 Mn compared to Rs. 64323 Mn in the current September
quarter FY18. Profit After Tax was lower by 1% YOY at Rs. 11936 Mn against Rs. 12007
Mn corresponding quarter previous year. EBDITA declined 3% YOY at Rs. 15947 Mn against
Rs. 16371 Mn in the same period previous year as operating costs jumped 3% and
other income declined 13% YOY in the current Q2 FY18. Though Bajaj Auto yearly September
numbers look somber, quarterly performance is strong and zestful with double
digit growth in every parameter. Revenue growth was reported with 12% rise QOQ and
EBDITA growing 1.2 times vis-a vis the previous June quarter. Net Profit
galloped 43% sequentially even as operating costs climbed 7% QOQ. Operating
costs stood at Rs. 52690 Mn in the current Q2 FY18 against Rs. 51379 Mn same
period previous year. As a result margins were stronger sequentially witnessing
de-growth on yearly basis. EBDITA Margin was reported at 24.28% in the current
quarter vis-à-vis 25.45% same period previous year. Controlled depreciation
& taxation expenditure & negligent interest costs have lead to strong Net
Profit Margins in September quarter at 18.18% against 18.67% corresponding
quarter previous year. On sequential basis EBDITA & Net Profit Margin
expanded 274 & 388 basis points in the current quarter. One basis point is equivalent
to 0.01%. Bajaj Auto has one of the best
operating margins in the auto industry.
BAJAJ
AUTO LTD is world’s fourth largest two wheeler & three wheeler manufacturer
in the world. The company manufactures motorcycles & commercial vehicles both
for domestic and international markets. On the volume front motorcycles grew 2%
and commercial vehicles jumped 14% YOY. Total volume growth was about 4% on
yearly basis with motorcycles contributing 86% & commercial vehicles 14%
YOY. Motorcycle segment performed better with respect to exports vis-à-vis domestic
market growing 1% & 5% respectively. Commercial Vehicles reported highest ever
quarterly sale in domestic market with 84938 units in Q2 FY18. Commercial Vehicles
grew 14% in the domestic market and 13% in international market. Total volumes or
units for the current quarter stood at 918721 and 152789 units for motorcycles
& Commercial Vehicles respectively. The October and November volume data has
also been encouraging with YOY growth of 7% & 21% respectively. During the
quarter, BAJAJ Auto witnessed highest ever monthly sale of 428752 units which includes
highest ever sale of pulsars of 112075 units in September 2017.
Disclaimer
The
information and opinions contained in the research reports have been compiled
or arrived at from sources believed reliable but no representation or warranty,
express or implied, is made as to their accuracy or completeness. The research
report does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the
particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual
clients. Clients should consider whether any advice or recommendation in this
research is suitable for their particular circumstances and, if appropriate,
seek professional advice,
including but not limited to tax advice. The reports do not take into account
the particular investment objectives, financial situations, risk profile or
needs of individual clients. The user assumes the entire risk of any use made
of this information. This report is not to be relied upon in substitution for
the exercise of independent judgment.
The
price and value of investments referred to in this research and the income from
them may fluctuate. Past performance is not a guide to future performance,
future returns are not guaranteed, and a loss of original capital may occur.
Research
data and reports published/ emailed/ text messaged via Short Messaging
Services, Online Messengers, WhatsApp etc/transmitted through mobile
application/s, including but not limited to FLIP™, Video Widget, telephony
networks, print or electronic media and or those made available/uploaded on
social networking sites (e.g. Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn etc) is for
informational purposes only. The reports are provided for assistance and are
not intended to be and must not alone be taken as the basis for an investment
decision. The user assumes the entire risk of any use made of this information.
Though disseminated to clients simultaneously, not all clients may receive the
reports at the same time. We will not treat recipients as clients by virtue of
their receiving this report.
The
reports include projections, forecasts and other predictive statements which
represent our assumptions and expectations in the light of currently available
information. These projections and forecasts are based on industry trends,
circumstances and factors which involve risks, variables and uncertainties. The
actual performance of the companies represented in the report may vary from those
projected.
The
opinions expressed in the reports are subject to change but we have no
obligation to tell our clients when our opinions or recommendations change. The
reports are non-inclusive and do not consider all the information that the
recipients may consider material to investments.
We
shall not be in any way responsible for any indirect, special or consequential
damages that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the
information contained in the reports nor do they take guarantee or assume
liability for any omissions of the information contained therein. Information
contained therein cannot be the basis for any claim, demand or cause of action.
These data, reports and information do not constitute scientific publication
and do not carry any evidentiary value whatsoever.
The
user should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of
investment and also read the Risk Disclosure Documents for Capital Markets and
Derivative Segments as prescribed by Securities and Exchange Board of India
before investing in the Indian Markets. The securities discussed in this report
may not be suitable for all investors. Investors must make their own investment
decision based on their own investment objectives, goals and financial position
and based on their own analysis. Prospective investors and others are
cautioned that any forward-looking statements, if any, are not predictions and
may be subject to change without notice.
This
report may provide the addresses of, or contain hyperlinks to websites. Except
to the extent to which the report refers to material we take no responsibility
whatsoever for the contents therein. Such addresses or hyperlinks are provided
solely for your convenience and information and the content of the linked site
does not in any way form part of this report. Accessing such website or
following such link through this report shall be at your own risk.
Wednesday, 13 December 2017
CONCOR LTD -Q2 FY18
Container Corporation Of India Ltd (CONCOR)
reported robust yearly growth in September quarter FY18. Revenue
jumped 5% YOY at Rs. 14302 Mn compared to Rs. 13603 Mn in the corresponding September
quarter previous year. PAT or Net Profit
grew 41% YOY at Rs. 2229 Mn against Rs. 1578 Mn same period previous year. EBDITA
was reported at Rs. 3774 Mn compared to Rs. 3036 Mn growing 24% YOY. Other
Income exhibited positive growth both yearly and QOQ rising 25% & 2%
respectively in the current Q2 FY18 quarter. Other Income was reported at Rs. 954
Mn against Rs. 763 Mn in corresponding quarter previous year. Sequential growth
has been lower with Revenue, EBDITA & PAT declining by 2%, 10% & 8% respectively
in the current quarter. Operating Expenditure grew 1% YOY and 2% sequentially in
the current September quarter. Operating expenditure stood at Rs. 11481 Mn in Q2
FY18 compared to Rs. 11330 Mn in Q2 FY17. EBDITA margin expanded 407 basis points
YOY and declined 246 basis points sequentially in the current September
quarter. EBDITA Margin was reported at 26.39% against 22.32% corresponding
quarter previous year. Taxation expenditure de-growth was about
3% YOY at Rs. 576 Mn in the current September quarter against Rs. 596 Mn same
period previous year. Sequentially Taxation witnessed decline of 14%. Tax
rate was lower on account of policy change and 80IA benefit received by the
company last year. Net Profit Margin was reported at 15.60% expanding 399 basis
points YOY and fell 112 basis points sequentially in the current September quarter
FY18. CONCOR is an undisputed market leader having 73% market share in
containerized traffic and the largest network of 72 ICDs/CFSs in India. In
addition to providing inland transport by rail for containers, it has also
expanded to cover management of ports, air cargo complexes and establishing
cold-chain. The company developed multimodal logistics support for India's
International and Domestic containerization and trade.
CONCOR’S core business is divided into
two main segments, Exim which contributes 80% of total revenues and domestic the
rest. Exim revenues were reported at Rs. 11415 Mn against Rs. 11137 Mn same
period previous year rising 2% YOY. Domestic revenues on the other hand jumped
17% YOY at Rs. 2887 Mn compared to Rs. 2466 Mn in Q2 FY17. Sequential performance
was hampered in both segments particularly domestically due to GST. The company
is moving forward with its capex plans which is around Rs. 10000 Mn in the current
year. The company is planning to commission seven logistics parks in the
next two quarters. The company plans three
MMLPs at Nagpur, Mihan, Raipur and Paradip in Q3 FY18. The remaining four MMLPs
at Balli in Goa, Baroda, Varnama in Andhra Pradesh Krishnapatnam port and New
Mangalore Port in Kanataka in Q4 FY18 . The company has witnessed stable growth
in September quarter and is expected to grow strongly in the long run as only
20% of domestic trade is containerized which gives vast scope of opportunities
for companies like CONCOR. We recommend BUY for the stock for medium & long
term investment with a target price of Rs. 1520.
Disclaimer
The
information and opinions contained in the research reports have been compiled
or arrived at from sources believed reliable but no representation or warranty,
express or implied, is made as to their accuracy or completeness. The research
report does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the
particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual
clients. Clients should consider whether any advice or recommendation in this
research is suitable for their particular circumstances and, if appropriate,
seek professional advice,
including but not limited to tax advice. The reports do not take into account
the particular investment objectives, financial situations, risk profile or
needs of individual clients. The user assumes the entire risk of any use made
of this information. This report is not to be relied upon in substitution for
the exercise of independent judgment.
The
price and value of investments referred to in this research and the income from
them may fluctuate. Past performance is not a guide to future performance,
future returns are not guaranteed, and a loss of original capital may occur.
Research
data and reports published/ emailed/ text messaged via Short Messaging
Services, Online Messengers, WhatsApp etc/transmitted through mobile
application/s, including but not limited to FLIP™, Video Widget, telephony
networks, print or electronic media and or those made available/uploaded on
social networking sites (e.g. Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn etc) is for
informational purposes only. The reports are provided for assistance and are
not intended to be and must not alone be taken as the basis for an investment
decision. The user assumes the entire risk of any use made of this information.
Though disseminated to clients simultaneously, not all clients may receive the
reports at the same time. We will not treat recipients as clients by virtue of
their receiving this report.
The
reports include projections, forecasts and other predictive statements which
represent our assumptions and expectations in the light of currently available
information. These projections and forecasts are based on industry trends,
circumstances and factors which involve risks, variables and uncertainties. The
actual performance of the companies represented in the report may vary from those
projected.
The
opinions expressed in the reports are subject to change but we have no
obligation to tell our clients when our opinions or recommendations change. The
reports are non-inclusive and do not consider all the information that the
recipients may consider material to investments.
We
shall not be in any way responsible for any indirect, special or consequential
damages that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the
information contained in the reports nor do they take guarantee or assume
liability for any omissions of the information contained therein. Information
contained therein cannot be the basis for any claim, demand or cause of action.
These data, reports and information do not constitute scientific publication
and do not carry any evidentiary value whatsoever.
The
user should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of
investment and also read the Risk Disclosure Documents for Capital Markets and
Derivative Segments as prescribed by Securities and Exchange Board of India
before investing in the Indian Markets. The securities discussed in this report
may not be suitable for all investors. Investors must make their own investment
decision based on their own investment objectives, goals and financial position
and based on their own analysis. Prospective investors and others are
cautioned that any forward-looking statements, if any, are not predictions and
may be subject to change without notice.
This
report may provide the addresses of, or contain hyperlinks to websites. Except
to the extent to which the report refers to material we take no responsibility
whatsoever for the contents therein. Such addresses or hyperlinks are provided
solely for your convenience and information and the content of the linked site
does not in any way form part of this report. Accessing such website or
following such link through this report shall be at your own risk.
The
author of this Research Report accepts no liability and will not in any way be
responsible for the contents of this report or for any losses, costs, expenses,
charges, including notional losses/lost opportunities incurred by a recipient
as a result of acting or non-acting on any information/material contained in
the report. This is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any
securities or an attempt to influence the opinion or behavior of investors or
recipients or provide any investment/tax advice. The securities described
herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain
category of investors. Persons in whose possession this document may come are
required to inform themselves of and to observe such restriction.
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