MADAM YELLEN HAS DONE IT AGAIN.......
Madam Yellen has defied the age old male adage
that women are not mentally transparent. She made things pretty translucent on
Tuesday for global investors and the whole central banking community. Last December,
she had raised hopes of US becoming again the only ray of hope for the
depressed world economy. Though the hopes are still not dashed, they are
dampened for a few quarters at least. The best thing was that she did her best
to explain the systematic risks faced by the US economy and why they existed? It’s
quantum of a jump from an era of hard nosed, obscure, insensitive to a more transparent
and pragmatic monetary policy.
Her forceful speech made stock markets skip and
prance justifying USA’s dependence on developed, developing and the sacred
Emerging Markets. What one couldn’t miss was the cautious undertone of the
whole discourse exhibiting underlying risk parameters faced by the largest
economy of the world.
Though Yellen seemed optimistic about various scenarios
which may lead to favorable inflation, manufacturing and job data for the US, uncertain
global factors such as declining crude prices, slowing China, precarious Europe
and Japan is forcing her to be more data dependent for future course of action.
As a result, FED has indicated gradual progression for hiking interest rates in
the coming quarters which is best for everyone. A responsible and sensitive FED
will have spill over effects spreading calmness so badly needed by global trade and investment community.
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