ASIAN STOCK MARKETS PARTY
WITH JAPANESE BAZOOKA
So, it is justified now, there is a definite co-relation
between our cricket team and BSE Sensex. Both are on a winning spree. Our
Sensex jumped 400 points closing at 24870 and our cricket team won T20 series
in Australia. But Mr. Haruhiko Kuroda would be asking, didn’t I do something. Yeah
actually, he hosted the party and we all enjoyed. Bank of Japan adopted
negative interest rates joining ECB and other European countries to fight
deflation. Japanese banks will be charged
a negative 0.1% in case they keep balances over and above the regulatory
requirement with their central bank. In simple language, the Japanese central
bank is following carrot and stick policy with its commercial banks, they have
to lend aggressively and if excess cash is kept they will have to pay interest to Bank of
Japan at 0.1%. This seems to be the last
resort for the Abe government to spur growth.
The most amazing thing is that most central banks are
following similar policies. But what they forget is that banks cannot bring
about economic growth by increasing their loan book. The first and foremost ingredient
for economic expansion is favorable investment climate and liquidity is just a
part of it. Japanese economy which has been fighting deflation for decades now, requires structural reforms, but that is the difficult part, infusing liquidity
is easy.
May be next time ECB and Bank of Japan will give a joint
statement with inflation target of 2%, interest rates pushed further into
negative territory and of course increasing stimulus. So the party goes on and on…… and Sensex goes
beyond 27000 again and India wins the T20 World Cup, remember positive correlation.
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